Modelling the future of transport: the European Commission’s 2050 strategy

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To do this, the Commission relies on the PRIMES econometric model to determine the most cost-effective pathways.

In this paper T&E:

• Describes the model and reports on some of its technical limitations when it comes to transport;
• Describes the consultation process of the strategy itself;
• And proposes measures to ensure robust, trustworthy modelling, the consequences of which are crucial for environmental policy for the next decade.

This paper has a particular focus on the transport sector, both the largest source of GHG emissions in the EU and the only sector to have increased since 1990.